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IDC Agenda 01-06-2004AGENDA -ANNUAL MEETING MONTICELLO INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE Tuesday, January 6, 2004 - 7:00 a.m. Academy Room - 505 Walnut Street MEMBERS: Chair Mary Barger, Vice Chair Tom Lindquist, Bill Tapper, Dick Van Allen, Tom Ollig, Don Roberts, Mike Benedetto, Barb Schwientek, Dan Olson, Kelli Huxford, Tom Feaski, and Lynne Dah I. COUNCIL LIAISON: Mayor Bruce Thielen. STAFF: Rick Wolfsteller, Jeff O'Neill, John Simola, Fred Patch, and Ollie Koropchak. IDC MISSION STATEMENT: To maintain and increase the industrial tax base and to create jobs in the City of Monticello, Minnesota. 7:00 a.m. 1. Call to Order. (Please read the minutes and information prior to the meeting.) 7:02 2. Vote to approve the December 2, 2003 IDC minutes. 7:05 3. Annual Meeting: A. Review and take action to amend or re-affirm the IDC 2003 Action Statement and Organizational and Membership Guidelines. B. Acceptance of IDC membership, three-year term -Barger, Van Allen, Olson, and Schwientek. C. Acceptance of Standing Committee Members: President or Chair of Chamber and Mayor of Monticello. D. Election of 2004 IDC Officers: Chair, Vice Chair, and Secretary. 7:20 4. Follow-up and discussion of the City Council action to authorize a purchase agreement for acquisition of industrial land. A. Follow-up of second meeting between Industrial Group and Chadwick. B. List of bullet points for lobbying. C. Lobby efforts and next scheduled Small Group meeting and Council workshop. 7:50 5. Updates by Mayor Thielen: A. Update on annexation. B. Meeting of city officials to set 2003 Council's Community Vision & Governing Policies. C. Update on the proposed I-94 and County Rd 18 interchange and I-94 realignment and requested CompPlan amendment (Block 52). 8:05 6. Reports: A. Economic Development Report -Koropchak. 8:10 7. Review the draft copy of the January 6, 2004 Planning Commission Agenda for industrial related items. Discuss and vote on an IDC position or action if necessary. 8:20 8. Other Business. Chamber Updates -Feaski. 8:30 9. Adjournment. ~ b~' IDC MEMBERSHIP 2004 VOTING MEMBERS TERM December 2004 December 2005 December 2006 MEMBERS Tom Lindquist Tom Ollig Don Roberts Lynne Dahl Bill Tapper Mike Benedetto Kelli Huxford Paul Kleinwachter Don Tomann Mary Barger Dick Van Allen Dan Olson Barb Schwientek Standing Member Tom Feaski NON-VOTING MEMBERS City Council Liaison Executive Director Support Staff Bruce Thielen Ollie Koropchak Rick Wolfsteller Jeff O'Neill Fred Patch John Simola OCCUPATION Service, Lender Service, Utility Industrial, Manufacturer Service, Print/Marketing Industrial, Manufacturer Education Service, Utility Service, Lender Industrial, Manufacturer Industrial, Manufacturer Industrial, Manufacturer Service, Insurance Health Care Chamber Past Chair Mayor • INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE IN AND FOR THE CITY OF MONTICELLO 2004 ACTION STATEMENT Mission Statement To maintain and increase the industrial tax base and to create jobs in the City of Monticello, Minnesota. Purpose To operate as an independent lobbying organization structured to influence and assist industrial development in and for the City of Monticello, Minnesota. In the broadest context focus on overall industrial development and developers. Goals and Direction 1. To provide a continuous stream of available industrial land with infrastructure potential. 2. To review and assess the implementation of the industrial marketing plan developed in conjunction with the HRA for the City of Monticello. 3. To rate the effectiveness of the use of the industrial marketing plan. 4. To assign time and effort when and where it is deemed necessary to accomplish industrial ~_ development. MONTICELLO INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE • ORGANIZATIONAL AND MEMBERSHIP GUIDELINES Meeting Time and Place: Regular meetings are held the first Tuesday of each month at 7:00 a.m. in the Monticello City Hall, Academy Room. Special meetings may be called by the Chairperson and Executive Director. II. Objective: As written and adopted by the Annual Industrial Development Committee Action Statement. III. Committee Size: While there is no set or definite size established, it is generally understood that the committee will not exceed 16-18 members. IV. Make-up the Committee: Committee members must either work or reside in the community of greater Monticello. Individuals who are involved in an occupation or profession that provides services to the community of Monticello but is not headquartered within the community may also serve as members of the committee. Standing Committee Members: President or Chair of the Monticello Area Chamber of Commerce. Mayor of the City of Monticello. Non-voting. City Staff Members: Non-voting. Administrator of the City of Monticello. Assistant Administrator of the City of Monticello. Economic Development Director of the City of Monticello. Chief Building Official of the City of Monticello. V. Officers: The Chairperson, the Vice Chairperson, and the Secretary shall be elected annually at the January meeting. Length of office term shall not exceed three consecutive years. Minutes of each meeting are the responsibility of the Secretary. Committee correspondence are the responsibility of the Economic Development Director. VI. Length of Membership Term: Members shall serve for three year terms on a three year rotating basis so that approximately one-third of the membership expires each year. Individuals wishing to continue serving on the committee may so indicate prior to the expiration of their term. Any member wishing to relinquish his/her position on the Industrial Development Committee may do so by submitting a letter of resignation. VII. Filling a Vacant Position: A list of potential committee members shall be kept by the Executive Director. The Industrial Development Committee must confirm all new members by a majority IDC ORGANIZATIONAL/MEMBERSHIP GUIDELINES. • PAGE 2 vote. VIII. Membership Attendance: In order to make a positive contribution to the committee, each member is expected to attend at least 75% of the meetings in any given year. A year is defined as beginning on the 1st of January and ending the 31 th of December. • MINUTES MONTICELLO INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE Tuesday, December 2, 2003 - 7:00 a.m. Academy Room - 505 Walnut Street MEMBERS PRESENT: Chair Mary Barger, Vice Chair Tom Lindquist, Bill Tapper, Dick Van Allen, Mike Benedetto, Dan Olson, and Tom Feaski. MEMBERS ABSENT: Tom Ollig, Don Roberts, Barb Schwientek, Kelli Huxford, and Lynne Dahl. COUNCIL LIAISON ABSENT: Mayor Bruce Thielen. STAFF PRESENT: Ollie Koropchak. IDC MISSION STATEMENT: To maintain and increase the industrial tax base and to create jobs in the City of Monticello, Minnesota. Call to Order. (Please read the minutes and information prior to the meeting.) Chair Barger called the IDC meeting to order at 7:03 a.m. 2. Vote to approve the November 4 2003 IDC minutes. TOM FEASKI MADE A MOTION TO APPROVE THE NOVEMBER 4, 2003 IDC MINUTES. SECONDED BY MIKE BENEDETTO AND WITH NO CORRECTIONS OR ADDITIONS, THE MINUTES WERE APPROVED AS WRITTEN. Follow-up and discussion of the City Council action to authorize a purchase agreement for acquisition of industrial land. A. Results of meeting between Industrial Group and Chadwick. Chair Barger reported that the City Council tabled any action on the acquisition of industrial land until February 9, 2004, in order to first review costs associated with the proposed I-94/County Rd 18 interchange. They also noted to continue negotiations with Chadwick. Barger continued stating the Small Group met with the Council prior to the regular Council meeting. We were looking for more support from the Council and felt their decision was already made. Since Council action, the Small Group met with John Chadwick and he agreed to extend his Letter of Intent through February 10, 2004, with the right to continue marketing the property. Administrator Wolfsteller prepared a non- binding Letter of Intent (counter-offer) and this was submitted to Chadwick the Wednesday prior to Thanksgiving. The following assessment was made: 1. Council overwhelmed and confused, not against purchase. 2. Need to simply presentation. 3. Purchase Agreement to progressive and binding for Council. 4. Council not convinced government should own and develop land. 5. Financing method unclear. B. Where to ~o from here. The IDC agreed to lobby the Council Members individually and to request Council representation on the Small Group. Members further agreed for the need to first sell the IDC MINUTES - 12/02/03 Council on the concept and to develop bullet points for lobbying: • Why city-owned industrial park is good for the community? • How to finance the acquisition and improvements? An investment for the future. • High cost of infrastructure discourages privately-owned parks. • Along-term vision. • Research competition. Tapper noted with the American industries going to China, we need to look to the future and what's next? Large buildings may not be the need. Feaski sees a successful and desired industrial market at 10,000 to 25,000 sq ft, outside dumpsters, and asteam-line Planning/Council process. Shawn Weinard still appears interested in swapping the Monticello Commerce Center for the City/Remmele parcel. The undeveloped land of the Monticello Commerce Center is proposed to be assessed for the interchange. Mike Benedetto and Tom Feaski volunteered to lobby Council members. It was suggested to start with Mayor Thielen and Council member Brian Stumpf and to involve Rick Wolfsteller. Van Allen volunteered to lobby Carlson. 4. Updates by Mayor Thielen: A. Progress of annexation agreement and future township/city council meetings. With the absence of Wolfsteller and Thielen, Koropchak noted the meeting between the City, Township, and representatives from St. Michael and Frankfort was held as scheduled. The visiting representatives shared their annexation experiences and suggested the use of the word "merger" rather than annexation. Koropchak assumed Wolfsteller was at the Wright County Board meeting this mon~ing as the Board will consider a resolution opposing Monticello's annexation. B. Meetin~v officials to set 2003 Council's Community Vision & Governing Policies. Not scheduled. C. Update and progress on the proposed I-94 and County Rd 18 interchange and I-94 realignment. Traffic Study, estimated interchange costs, and sources of funds under study. 5. Reports: A. Economic Development Report. The IDC accepted the report as written. Additionally, Koropchak noted the January IDC meeting is the annual meeting. Those individuals whose terms expire December 31 are Mary Barger, Dick Van Allen, Dan Olson, and Barb Schwientek. Chamber representative is either Chamber President or Chair. Election of officers are also held at the annual meeting. Van Allen reported he toured Cargill Kitchens in Big Lake and noted the review process time by the City to accommodate the developer's desired shipment date. Additionally, Van Allen reviewed the Performance Measure of the Big Lake Industrial Park. B. Marketing Subcommittee. Tom Lindquist reported the Marketing Committee partnered with the Chamber for design and placement of a billboard along I-94 near Albertville. The billboard will promote the Tnimpeter Swans. 2 IDC MINUTES - 12/02/03 6. Discussion on and to continue development of a list of potential tasks to accomplish the goal of the IDC: To provide a continuous stream of available industrial land with infrastructure potential. A. Review the draft copy of the December 2, 2003 Planning Commission Agenda for industrial related items. Discuss and vote on an IDC position or action if necessary. With no industrial items on the Planning Commission Agenda of December 2, 2003, no discussion or action was required. 7. Other Business. Chamber Updates -Chamber Chair Feaski gave the following update: Home for the Holidays is December 5; billboard promoting the trumpeter swans expected to be up within a week; Chamber Banquet scheduled for January 24 includes silent auction and casino night. This the Chamber's biggest fund-raiser. 8. Adjournment. TOM LINDQUIST MADE A MOTION TO ADJOURN THE IDC MEETING. SECONDED BY DAN OLSON AND WITH NO FURTHER BUSINESS, THE IDC MEETING ADJOURNED AT 8:40 A.M. • ~ 8 ~~ Ollie Koropchak, Recorder 3 Q. INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE IN AND FOR THE CITY OF MONTICELLO 2003 ACTION STATEMENT Mission Statement To maintain and increase the industrial tax base and to create jobs in the City of Monticello, Minnesota. Purpose To operate as an independent lobbying organization structured to influence and assist industrial development in and for the City of Monticello, Minnesota. In the broadest context focus on overall industrial development and developers. Goals and Direction 1. To provide a continuous stream of available industrial land with infrastructure potential. 2. To review and assess the implementation of the industrial marketing plan developed in conjunction with the HRA for the City of Monticello. 3. To rate the effectiveness of the use of the industrial marketing plan. 4. To assign time and effort when and where it is deemed necessary to accomplish industrial development. • 3a, MONTICELLO INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE ORGANIZATIONAL AND MEMBERSHIP GUIDELINES Meeting~Time and Place: Regular meetings are held the first Tuesday of each month at 7:00 a.m. in the Monticello City Hall, Academy Room. Special meetings may be called by the Chairperson and Executive Director. II. Objective: As written and adopted by the Annual Industrial Development Committee Action Statement. III. Committee Size: While there is no set or definite size established, it is generally understood that the committee will not exceed 16-18 members. IV. Make-up the Committee: Committee members must either work or reside in the community of greater Monticello. Individuals who are involved in an occupation or profession that provides services to the community of Monticello but is not headquartered within the community may also serve as members of the committee. Standing_Committee Members: President or Chair of the Monticello Area Chamber of Commerce. Mayor of the City of Monticello. Non-voting. City Staff Members: Non-voting. Administrator of the City of Monticello. Assistant Administrator of the City of Monticello. Economic Development Director of the City of Monticello. Chief Building Official of the City of Monticello. V. Officers: The Chairperson, the Vice Chairperson, and the Secretary shall be elected annually at the January meeting. Length of office term shall not exceed three consecutive years. Minutes of each meeting are the responsibility of the Secretary. Committee correspondence are the responsibility of the Economic Development Director. VI. Length of Membership Term: Members shall serve for three year terms on a three year rotating basis so that approximately one-third of the membership expires each year. Individuals wishing to continue serving on the committee may so indicate prior to the expiration of their term. Any member wishing to relinquish his/her position on the Industrial Development Committee may do so by submitting a letter of resignation. VII. Filling a Vacant Position: A list of potential committee members shall be kept by the Executive Director. The Industrial Development Committee must confirm all new members by a majority vote. IDC ORGANIZATIONAL/MEMBERSHIP GUIDELINES. PAGE 2 VIII. Membership Attendance: In order to make a positive contribution to the committee, each member is expected to attend at least 75% of the meetings in any given year. A year is defined as beginning on the 1st of January and ending the 3 I th of December. • 3 Q. 2003 IDC Monthly Attendance This is printed only as an informative report relative to the IDC Guidelines knowing individuals parti cipate in other functions of the IDC. No Jan Feb Mar Anr May Jun Jul Auk Sep Oct Nov Dec Mtn Ollig A A A A LOA P Van Allen P P P P P P P P P P P Doty A Lindquist P P P P P P A P P A P Tapper P P A A A P A A A P P Roberts P A P P P A P A P P A Benedetto P P P P P A A A P P P Barger P P P P P P A P P P P ~S h i k P c w ente A P A P P P A P P A Olson P P P P P P P P P P P Huxford P A P A A A A A P P A Dahl P P P P P A P P P A Chamber A A P P P P P P P P P Council Liaison A A P A A A A A A A A P =PRESENT A= ABSENT r~ ~J 30a.C. VOTING MEMBERS TERM December 2003 December 2004 December 2005 Standing Member NON-VOTING MEMBERS City Council Liaison Executive Director Support Staff IDC MEMBERSHIP 2003 MEMBERS Mary Barger Dick Van Allen Dan Olson Barb Schwientek Tom Lindquist Tom Ollig Don Roberts Lynne Dahl Bill Tapper Mike Benedetto Kelli Huxford Tom Feaski Bruce Thielen Ollie Koropchak Rick Wolfsteller Jeff O'Neill Fred Patch John Simola OCCUPATION Industrial, Manufacturer Industrial, Manufacturer Service, Insurance Health Care Service, Lender Service, Utility Industrial, Manufacturer Service, Print/Marketing Industrial, Manufacturer Education Service, Utility Service, Lender Chamber Chair Mayor Page 1 of 1 Ollie Koropchak From: Sent: To: Cc: Subje~ bondhus28 [vanallen@bondhus.com] Tuesday, December 02, 2003 10:46 AM Ollie Koropchak Mary & Brad Barger :t: IDC Membership ~s, MY calendar tells me I will be gone until 7 January. While /still want to serve on IDC there is no interest in running for office should it come up. Thanks Dick Van Allen ~J • 12/2/2003 Ollie_w:oropchak From: Noel LaBine, Econ Dev Partnership [nlabine@WHE.ORGj Sent: Wednesday, December 17, 2003 10:10 AM ~o: Ollie Koropchak Subject: RE: Wright County City Owned Industrial Park Survey Steve Scharber is an agent for the land designated Park, which is privately owned. It is located nor Northwest of the Outlets of Albertville, and there planned to be installed there. There also is some Haul Trucking on the south side of the I-94, which has ownership of or agent responsibility for. for their Industrial ~h of 70th St. just is not infrastructure space left by Long I believe Shingobee Noel LaBine Executive Director Wright County Economic Development Partnership 6800 Electric Drive, Rockford, MN 55373 763-477-3086 nlabine@whe.org www.wrightpartnership.org -----Original Message----- From: Ollie Koropchak [mailto:Ollie.Koropchak@ci.monticello.mn.us) Sent: Tuesday, December 16, 2003 4:41 PM To: Noel LaBine, Econ Dev Partnership Subject: RE: Wright County City Owned Industrial Park Survey Thanks, Noel. Do you know what Ostego's up to about industrial park? Ollie -----Original Message----- From: Noel LaBine, Econ Dev Partnership [mailto:nlabine@WHE.ORG] Sent: Tuesday, December 16, 2003 3:21 PM o: Ollie Koropchak Subject: Wright County City Owned Industrial Park Survey °~ 'JE Ollie, I had to ask a couple cities what they had left of their city-owned industrial parks, so this survey is fairly recent: The cities with city-owned industrial parks and the number of acres still available in them: * Annandale; 35 acres still available * Buffalo; between 2 and 3 acres still remaining, and they have no intentions of starting another park. * Delano; 1.7 acres left. The next Industrial Park will be privately owned. * Maple Lake just sold their last remaining acres. They would like to buy more, but have nothing definite. * Rockford has about 7 acres left, but it is basically enough for one more industry, since part of that will be a holding pond. They also would like to buy more land to extend their park. * St. Michael recently purchase about 20 acres, which is available. That is it. All the other parks are privately owned, or in the case of Cokato and Howard Lake, they are owned by a CDC. Noel LaBine Executive Director Wright County Economic Development Partnership 6800 Electric Drive, Rockford, MN 55373 763-477-3086 nlabine~whe.org ~aww.wrightpartnership.org 1 IDC Agenda - 01/06/04 6A. Consideration of Executive Director's Report. A. Copy of the tax increment received from the County for the second half of taxes payable 2003. You will note T. J. Martin is delinquent. Although the HRA retired the district debt with the transfer and sale of the property from T. J. Martin to the Hoglunds, the HRA has not de- certified the district. Secondly, Production Stamping has paid the property tax for the second- half of 2003 plus a penalty per the County; however, not in time for the HRA to collect the tax increment. This was noted in the letter to Mr. Wurm. B. Copy of letter to Mr. Wurm, Production Stamping. Notification of tax increment deficiency ($268) for first-half of taxes payable 2003 or August 1, 2003, Payment Date. The first paragraph on page two reminds the developer of the need to pay taxes on time. I did not list the $18,209 deficiency, February 1, 2004, Payment Date, as a tax increment deficiency knowing the taxes were paid plus penalty. The HRA will collect this with the tax increment collected for the first-half of 2004. A deficiency notice will be mailed at that time unless the HRA sees a need to notify Production of the $18,209 deficiency. C. I received the 2004 TIF Parcel Modeler from the County which has the Captured Tax Capacity by each parcel for each TIF District. For TIF District No. 1-22, the captured tax capacity for 2004 is $217,462 up from 2003, $166,448. This includes the five-year activity rule which means only parcels with permitted activity still collect tax increment. D. Copy of letter relative to snow removal at Riverwalk. E. It is my understanding Rick has authorized the reimbursement of tax increment to the County as approved by the HRA in December. F. Christmas greetings were mailed to Monticello industries, some builders and contractors, and consultants. G. The Small Industrial Group is scheduled to meet on Thursday, January 8, at 4:00 p.m. They will review a revised counter-offer before submitting to Chadwick. H. 2003 Annual Meeting of the Wright County Economic Development Partnership. January 16, 2004, 7:45 a.m. to 10:00 a.m. Wild Marsh Golf Club, Buffalo, MN. I. Steel Fabricator - 4,000 - 8,000 sq ft, wages $20 per hour. Seven jobs. Make decision in 2004. Looking at Maple Lake. Called 12-23-03 about City's potential to develop park. Contract Machining Company -Looked at Remmele Building -visited in October. Unable to connect with owner. Asked UMC to help out. Like to talk to about other options in Monticello. 40 jobs, $18.50 per hour wages. Will write letter if all fails. H-Window Building -Two inquiries -Selling price - $2.2 million. Will now lease - $4.00 per sq ft for office and $2.00 per sq ft for warehouse Triple Net Lease. This as of December 16. Contacted previous looker of H-Window building relative to new information and potential of city owned park. Large grocer distribution -Called for update at State and agent. Medical Manufacturer -Continue to connect -will write letter about potential new options. • 1 IDC Agenda - 01/06/04 • Couple of local manufacturer thinking about expansion. Retail -Couple of restaurant inquiries Potential of other redevelopment. • AGENDA REGULAR MEETING - MONTICELLO PLANNING COMMISSION Tuesday -January 6, 2004 6:00 P.M. (DRAFT) Members: Dick Frie, Richazd Cazlson, Rod Dragsten, Lloyd Hilgart, and David Rietveld Council Liaison: Brian Stumpf Staff: Jeff O'Neill, Fred Patch, Steve Grittman, and Angela Schumann 1. Call to order. 2. Approval of the minutes of the regular Planning Commission meeting held December 9, 2003. 3. Consideration of adding items to the agenda. 4. Citizen comments. 5. Open House/Workshop -Discussion regarding potential amendments to the comprehensive plan establishing an acceptable mix of single family and attached housing in low density residential districts. 6. Consideration of re-appointment for expired term of planning commission member David Rietveld. 7. Adjourn • Planning Commission Agenda - 01/06/04 C, MONTICELLO Number Percent Total Housin Units 3,005 100.0 1 unit detached 1,771 58.9 Attached 1,024 34.0 Mobile Home 210 7 ....mow ..,~,~~ur~ u.ryi.nngJrom a wwnno:rse to a w or more unit apartment. C • St. Michael Number Percent Total Housin Units 3,033 100.0 unit detached 2,6j7 87 3 Attached 381 1 ~ 5 Mobile Home 5 0.2 Mendota Hei hts Number Percent Total Housin Units 3,2.33 100.0 1 unit detached 3,178 74 9 Attached 1,06 ~5 1 Mobile Home 0 0 Shako ee Number Percent Total Housin Units 7,790 100.0 1 unit detached 4.716 60.5 Attached 3,031 38 9 Mobile Home 43 6 Ma le Grove Number Percent Total Housin Units 17,738 100.0 1 unit detached 12,832 7~ 3 Attached 4,894 ~7 6 Mobile Home 12 1 Buffalo Cit Number Percent Total Housin Units 3,872 100.0 1 unit detached 2,389 61.7 Attached 1,174 30 3 Mobile Home 309 8.0 Bi Lake Citv Number Percent Total Housing Units 2,194 100.0 I unit detached 1,766 80 ~ Attached 309 14 1 Mobile Home 119 ~.~ -2- #9 ~~ ~~ ~`1 ~'~ t-` ~~ w .... i ° ~~ ~~ ~-~' _ "ri, ~~ >-., _. ~..i~' ..,! ! ~ ~~ ~ ~~ ~._. ~ .._„t}.._3 ~..___ ~ !~~ ~~ .. ~x ~~ I ~ r } -~ _' ~ j ~~ l ~ ...._,. T ... _.. r R ". 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U ~ `~ t, ~ N ~ N ~ ~ L ~ ~ N ~ ~ N N N ~ ~ ~ ~ rn ^ ii ~ ~ ~ a ~ ' ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ O _ ~ ~ ~ N- ~ C ~ ~ ~ o : = cn i a '~ ~ n ~ i a a ~ ~ cn n ~ a i ~ n. ~ a cn a = ~ a c ~ ~ _ ~~ ~ . ~ f. °' ~ a~ 3 _c - L .~ ? ~ F o cn m a ~..~ .~ ~ ~ `~ o Q ~ m ~' ~ a .N w - ~ N ~ C ~ a `* c t- c ~ c o rn ~ ~ O -a ~ ~~ ~ a~ ~ a = ... _ = _ cn ~ ti ~ > a~ ~ ~ o ... s cn ~v rn O ~ r ~ c`a ~ 'a '~ ~ c`a ~ ~ p ~ ~ O A : C~ n. ` (~ (~ (~ ti - = U 2 ~ z ~ ~ y z- Y ~ ^~- N M ~' tty C O t ~ 0 0 O~ ~ ~ C ~ ~ C ~ SC MSN Money -Where are house prices headed in your town? Print-friendly version Send this to a friend Flash! Know when your stocks move Plan for your perfect retirement Pay all your bills with a few clicks Find It! Article Index Finance Q&A Tools Index Site map lt?SIl~ Money • I~ipli~ger P.elated Resources Pale 1 of 4 The Basics Where are house prices headed in your town? With supply tight. rates low and the -._..: ~ ,f.,,. economy recovering, the only real -- check on sales in 2004 may be the SEARCHING FOR A HOME LOAN? shocking price tags. See how your home town stands. By Elizabeth Razzi, Kiplinger Home-sales records have been shattered over the past three years. But economists see the trend's end -` in 2004, together with a moderating of the stunning price increases across the country. Then again, they predicted as much for 2001, 2002 and 2003. Will this be the year they `- ~ so,ooo 00 .~~ ` ~ ,""` ir~erest'Rate ~"'~ 6.000 96 i ;~ Y ~"e= loan Term 30 year fixed rt' ~f Monthly PaymerQ $ 899.33 HOW MUCH CAN YOU AFFORD? ~ I ~~ get it right? Maybe, but even some of the experts are beginning to doubt themselves. "It's starting to drive us a little crazy," admits David Seiders, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders. The numbers through 2003 certainly don't show any weakness. Sales of existing homes are expected to close the year at 6 million, up more than 400,000 from the year before, according to the National Association of Realtors. The group estimates the median price nationwide rose almost 9%, to $172,100. That handily beats 2002's 7% increase. Most housing economists are predicting a slowing of price increases in 2004 to about 5%, but we wouldn't bet on it. Affordability worries The reason a slowdown in housing prices is no sure thing is that, economically speaking, the only factor that might finally cool the rising-sales-and-prices trend is the increase in prices themselves. Certainly other economic factors won't slow the trend. Mortgage rates are expected to stay attractive at below 7%, the economy is picking up steam, and unemployment is dipping at last. 'The Two-Income Trap: Why Middle- Class Mothers and Fathers Are Going Broke" But price increases, especially along the coasts, have been stupefying. Median prices in New York City and its suburbs soared 50% to 60% over the past five years. Prices in parts of Florida shot up more than 50%, driven partly by second-home buyers. Check out your options. Californians are staggering under the weight of house inflation. Shop for rates For example, the median price in Orange County is 123% higher before you borrow. than it was in 1998. The California Association of Realtors estimates that only 23% of California households can afford to buy amedian-priced home. If the 13% price increase that the association expects to occur in 2004 does come to pass, only 19% will be able to buy. http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/Banking/P70707.asp 1 /2/2004